J.P. Morgan reduced its price outlook for Brent crude oil in the second half of 2026, citing weaker commercial inventory withdrawals and softer oil demand than previously anticipated

Oil prices retreated after the latest round of negotiations between the United States and Iran concluded in Switzerland, fueling expectations that additional Iranian crude could eventually return to the international market

The agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz has brought swift relief to global markets. However, some traders fear that the stock market rally and the decline in oil prices may have gone too far

A recovery in oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz and oil production following the U.S.-Iran interim peace ​deal will take time, potentially several months, analysts at ‌two banks said

A ​large supply surplus in 2027 could “provide a welcome respite to the market and an opportunity to replenish depleted inventories, or to ⁠build new strategic reserves,” the IEA said

U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) inventories fell to 340.3 million barrels, the lowest level since 1983, the Department of Energy said

The U.S. and Iran said they have agreed terms to end their war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, news that brought relief to markets worldwide, although the pact may ​hinge on events in Lebanon and defers tricky talks on Tehran’s nuclear programme

The US and Iran moved closer to an interim peace agreement meant to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and help end a war that has damaged the global economy and caused chaos in the Middle East

The current forecast reduced the expected oil ​demand growth this year from 1.17 million barrels per day as previously seen. For 2027, ​OPEC expects oil demand to rise by 1.73 million bpd,

The EIA said it now expects oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz to begin recovering in the third quarter of 2026. However, the agency does not anticipate traffic through the waterway returning to pre-war levels before early 2027